Between the coronavirus, the flu and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), travelers face a trio of health concerns this holiday season. Our team of analysts evaluated the latest health and safety data to find the riskiest states to travel to this holiday season.

Key findings:

  • North Dakota, Rhode Island and Wyoming are the riskiest states for holiday travel
  • Connecticut, New Hampshire and Vermont are the safest states for holiday travel
  • West Virginia, Kentucky and Mississippi were the riskiest states when evaluated on health factors alone
  • Utah, California and Iowa were the riskiest states when evaluated on driving factors alone

To find the riskiest states for holiday travel, we evaluated each state based on 10 different health and safety factors. COVID-19 case rates, vaccination rates, flu activity and the number of accidents, speeding tickets and DUIs were all considered. In the end, our analysts found that North Dakota is the riskiest state for holiday travel.

Riskiest States for Holiday Travel
Overall rank State Health rank Driving rank
1 North Dakota 6 6
2 Rhode Island 21 9
3 Wyoming 4 14
4 Arizona 10 8
5 South Dakota 18 31
6 Utah 31 1
7 Ohio 20 4
8 Indiana 8 15
9 Wisconsin 24 5
10 Tennessee 7 22
11 Alabama 5 28
12 Florida 12 21
13 Georgia 16 16
14 South Carolina 17 20
15 Iowa 37 3
16 Kansas 19 23
17 California 42 2
18 North Carolina 23 18
19 New Jersey 13 32
20 Mississippi 3 38
21 Nebraska 29 12
22 Missouri 22 25
23 Idaho 33 11
24 West Virginia 1 48
25 Virginia 46 7
26 Montana 26 24
27 Louisiana 9 42
28 Colorado 45 13
29 Oklahoma 15 37
30 Kentucky 2 45
31 Oregon 41 17
32 Texas 35 27
33 Minnesota 28 33
34 Nevada 32 29
35 New Mexico 25 34
36 Washington 40 26
37 Massachusetts 43 19
38 Pennsylvania 30 35
39 Michigan 14 49
40 Maryland 39 30
41 Arkansas 11 46
42 Hawaii 49 10
43 Maine 50 43
44 Illinois 34 40
45 Alaska 38 36
46 New York 36 39
47 Delaware 27 47
48 Vermont 47 41
49 New Hampshire 44 44
50 Connecticut 48 50

While the coronavirus no longer dominates new headlines, health concerns are still a factor in people’s travel plans. Flu levels are extremely high in some states, and RSV has left some hospitals packed with patients. When measured on health factors alone, we found that West Virginia, Kentucky and Mississippi are the riskiest places for holiday travel.

Overall Health Rankings
Overall rank (worst to best) State COVID-19 case rank Flu activity
1 West Virginia 6 High
2 Kentucky 3 Very High
3 Mississippi 17 Very High
4 Wyoming 18 Moderate
5 Alabama 16 Very High
6 North Dakota 4 Moderate
7 Tennessee 5 Very High
8 Indiana 31 High
9 Louisiana 15 High
10 Arizona 13 Low
11 Arkansas 12 Very High
12 Florida 7 High
13 New Jersey 14 Very High
14 Michigan 30 Minimal
15 Oklahoma 21 High
16 Georgia 37 Very High
17 South Carolina 8 Very High
18 South Dakota 26 Low
19 Kansas 20 High
20 Ohio 39 High
21 Rhode Island 1 Low
22 Missouri 38 High
23 North Carolina 19 Very High
24 Wisconsin 10 Moderate
25 New Mexico 22 Very High
26 Montana 28 Low
27 Delaware 11 Moderate
28 Minnesota 27 High
29 Nebraska 35 Very High
30 Pennsylvania 42 Moderate
31 Utah 9 High
32 Nevada 34 High
33 Idaho 33 High
34 Illinois 24 High
35 Texas 36 Very High
36 New York 25 High
37 Iowa 40 Moderate
38 Alaska 2 Minimal
39 Maryland 50 High
40 Washington 46 Very High
41 Oregon 49 High
42 California 32 Very High
43 Massachusetts 23 Moderate
44 New Hampshire 41 Minimal
45 Colorado 29 Very High
46 Virginia 44 Very High
47 Vermont 47 Minimal
48 Connecticut 43 High
49 Hawaii 45 Low
50 Maine 48 Low

Airline travel has returned to pre-pandemic levels, but this holiday season, more people will be driving to their vacation destinations. After looking at each state’s number of accidents, speeding tickets and DUIs, we found that Utah, California and Iowa are the riskiest states for that long road trip.

Overall Driving Rankings
Overall rank (worst to best) State DUI rank Accident rank Speeding rank Citation rank
1 Utah 8 5 1 2
2 California 1 3 7 13
3 Iowa 6 18 9 4
4 Ohio 15 8 4 10
5 Wisconsin 4 22 5 14
6 North Dakota 2 36 2 3
7 Virginia 11 9 19 7
8 Arizona 9 10 8 29
9 Rhode Island 16 1 47 6
10 Hawaii 33 23 3 1
11 Idaho 3 24 28 12
12 Nebraska 5 16 24 18
13 Colorado 18 21 11 23
14 Wyoming 7 41 15 9
15 Indiana 10 13 17 36
16 Georgia 37 14 6 11
17 Oregon 22 31 14 21
18 North Carolina 17 12 27 25
19 Massachusetts 21 2 50 8
20 South Carolina 36 4 29 15
21 Florida 30 7 25 24
22 Tennessee 26 17 12 17
23 Kansas 27 32 13 34
24 Montana 12 29 34 16
25 Missouri 25 25 16 28
26 Washington 28 26 10 26
27 Texas 31 6 26 31
28 Alabama 42 15 21 19
29 Nevada 23 20 22 40
30 Maryland 43 11 32 22
31 South Dakota 13 43 20 33
32 New Jersey 38 27 41 35
33 Minnesota 14 46 18 5
34 New Mexico 19 35 33 38
35 Pennsylvania 24 19 43 39
36 Alaska 20 40 31 42
37 Oklahoma 45 39 23 30
38 Mississippi 32 37 39 20
39 New York 47 38 35 32
40 Illinois 46 33 37 27
41 Vermont 34 42 30 43
42 Louisiana 48 28 42 44
43 Maine 41 30 45 47
44 New Hampshire 35 34 48 48
45 Kentucky 29 44 46 49
46 Arkansas 39 47 44 41
47 Delaware 49 49 38 37
48 West Virginia 44 48 36 46
49 Michigan 40 50 40 45
50 Connecticut 50 45 49 50

Our analysis found two nationwide patterns when it comes to the riskiest states to travel to this holiday season. Southern states like West Virginia, Alabama and Tennessee pose a greater health risk for travelers. We found that southern states have higher rates of coronavirus, flu and RSV, and lower rates of vaccination.

Western states, meanwhile, pose a greater risk while traveling. Utah has the highest rate of speeding tickets and California drivers get the most DUIs.

Methodology:

QuoteWizard analyzed 10 metrics to find out the riskiest states to travel to. This includes driving accidents, speeding tickets, DUIs, COVID-19 cases, flu activity and RSV cases. Each metric was ranked on a 1-50 scale, with an ascending score representing the least safe to safest conditions for specific state travel. We then determined each state’s safety ranking by averaging across all metric scores to calculate its overall ranking and used the resulting scores to rank-order each state.

Adult COVID-19 vaccination rates: QuoteWizard analyzed CDC data on adults who are not vaccinated against COVID-19. Our ranking is based on states that had the lowest to highest percentages of adults with both doses of a vaccine as of Dec. 10.

Dangerous driving states: QuoteWizard analyzed 2022 data from millions of insurance quotes from drivers in each state using QuoteWizard.com. We used a composite ranking system to rank each city for its rate of incidents. Incidents include accidents, speeding tickets, DUIs and citations.

COVID-19 case and death rates: We looked at CDC data on the United States daily average COVID-19 Cases and deaths by state per 100K in the last seven days starting Dec. 10.

Flu activity: We looked at data from the CDC’s weekly Influenza Surveillance Report to compile information on flu activity in each state.

RSV trends: RSV trends were measured using data from the CDC’s National Respiratory and Enteric Virus Surveillance System (NREVSS).

References:

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